Import AI 458: Reckoning with the future; and a singularity story
Jack Clark argues society must confront AI success, not dismiss its accelerating impact.
This Import AI issue is a long essay and fiction piece about living through rapid AI progress. Clark uses personal experience and Anthropic’s internal use of Claude to show work shifting toward delegation, verification, observability, and agent management. He then offers speculative 2026-2028 predictions around biology, autonomous companies, robotics, recursive self-improvement, and a positive singularity story focused on healthcare.
This issue of Import AI is not a typical news roundup, but rather a long-form commentary and extrapolation about the future. Building on a talk Jack Clark gave in 2026 at the Oxford Human-Centered AI Lab, he poses a central question: in the face of rapidly strengthening AI, should human society choose to "explore the future" or "retreat from the present"? He argues that AI's progress over the past few years in areas such as exams, mathematics, software vulnerability discovery, and research collaboration shows that it can no longer be regarded as an ordinary tool. If performance continues to improve with investments in compute and data, the future may bring AI capable of helping design the next generation of systems, leading to recursive self-improvement and economic and scientific changes on an enormous scale.
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